Bubba Watson..........

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Not sure how much that plays into it. Phil had one top ten going into last year's Masters. McDowell struggled last couple of tourneys but has 4 top tens this year.

McDowell hits it too low if you follow conventional wisdom at Augusta. Putters win the Masters, my picks are Badds, Luke Donald or Sergio. Sergio's claw will come alive this week.
 
Not sure how much that plays into it. Phil had one top ten going into last year's Masters. McDowell struggled last couple of tourneys but has 4 top tens this year.

Augusta fits Mickelson about as well as any golfer ever. McDowell, a shorter hitter on Tour needs to be on top of his game.

Mickelson has problems when his driver is off and his putter isn't working. Augusta is designed now for the bomber in mind. He has about 1 out on every tee shot at Augusta. Augusta is much more about hitting shots close from long range approaches than it is putting. You're just not going to make a lot putts at Augusta from 25+ feet. And because the greens are so slick there, if you're hitting greens there but leaving yourself with 25+ foot putts, you're more likely to 3-putt. So the guys that have an advantage over Phil with putting...probably have much less of an advantage unless they can hit shots close. But, for all of his ballstriking woes, Phil is consistently one of the best on Tour from long range (175-225 yards). And because he hits it so long and doesn't have to worry about trouble at Augusta (vs. a place like Pebble), he can avoid those long range approaches as well, while somebody like Kuchar will have more of those shots.

And Phil works it right to left which suits many of the doglegs.

He's finished outside the top 10 *once* in his last 11 Masters Tournaments.

McDowell has played August 3 times, missing the cut twice and finishing 17th in '09.

But my point is that a guy like McDowell probably has to go into the Masters playing really well because the course doesn't suit him nearly as well as it does guys like Phil, Bubba, D. Johnson, etc.





3JACK
 
Harrington: would love to see it but I think he has too many 8s/runs of puke golf. Maybe this time....

McIlroy not that good a chipper and doesn't hole out well from 10 feet under. Ditto Westwood. Both top 10 though.

Mahans short game also a doubt. Thinking Ryder Cup v GMac.

Small field with many no hopers reduces chance of 'shock' outsider win and helps Phil to do well (and the other greats in their prime) year after year.

Has to be Phil!
 
Phil is an obvious choice, probably a better chance to win than anyone, so I wouldn't bet against him . . . however, I think Dustin Johnson is the man to beat.
 
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SteveT

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I WANNA BE LIKE BUBBA .... ALL FEEEL AND NO FYYSICS .... and I play PINGs just like him... so why can't I break bogey scoring ...??!!!
 
Great pick. I had a small wager on Bubba @ 22/1 and on Fowler, Woodland and Johnson. Exciting time, paid off since Bubba came through.
 
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