Kevin Shields
Super Moderator
I don't see how it's any different than turning pro in any other sport. The odds are astronomically against even the brightest of talent. I've played with a number of basketball players who are as or more talented than many household name NBA players, but they either lacked the brain or the valentine to compete at the top. There is no formula to follow. Every college coach and pro scout does their home work, watches their films, talks to all parties, but in the end it's a fishing trip. And usually if you cast the biggest net you'll have the best chance of landing the most fish. Betting on or trying to predict how a 15 to 20 year old reacts is a guessing game AT BEST.
Remember there is only 30 some spots available every year. Most of the spots at final stage are taken by re-treads. Those guys make it as difficult as possible for young talent to move up. Every other sport would have sent most of these guys to waivers. But the good old boy all exempt 125 keeps the veterans around who surface on the leaderboard twice a year but keep their card. Any other sport there out.