I'm no expert, but it looks to me like your upper body moves toward the target at the very top of the backswing (even before you start the downswing there is a shift toward the target). You therefore can't get enough axis tilt because it's impossible to get your tailbone ahead of the top of your spine when the top of your spine has moved. Seems like a simple swing thought here would be 'stay behind the ball', i.e. keep your head centered and, if anything, further behind the ball at impact.